In a landmark estimation, it has been revealed Manchester City could owe their domestic rivals more than £527 million in Premier League prize money in the wake of the club being found guilty on 114 out of 115 charges, including breaches of Financial Fair Play (FFP) regulations.

Hull City would be due at least £4,422,590 based on the difference in merit payments but with a number of clubs lining up to submit other claims against City, this could merely be the starting point when it comes to compensation due.

The majority of Premier League clubs support the Associated Party Transaction rules, despite City launching a legal battle against APT rules, which cover commercial and sponsorship deals with companies owned or associated with the same club’s owners.

Data specialists at OLBG focused on the amount each club would be entitled to in central payments from the top flight over the period from when the 115 charges against the club began. This analysis, spanning from the 2011/12 to 2025/26 seasons, examines the potential financial repercussions for the club and the rest of the league. Figures for 2025/26 are estimates as the Premier League has not yet published its official payments for that season.

How the Compensation Was Estimated

The estimation of potential compensation is based on central payments distributed to Premier League clubs over the specified period. These central payments are divided into six categories: Equal Share, Facility Fees, Merit Payment, International Equal Share, International Merit Payment, and Central Commercial.

With the exception of Facility Fees and Merit Payments, which are based on the number of televised matches and final league standings respectively, the other payments are distributed equally among the clubs.

To determine the potential compensation owed by Manchester City, data from official Premier League sources and news sites were utilised. By removing Manchester City from the standings and adjusting the positions of other clubs accordingly, the revised Merit Payments were calculated.

The difference between the original and adjusted Merit Payments provided an estimate of how much each club could be owed.

Estimated Results

The following table presents the total Merit Payments received by each club from the 2011/12 to 2025/26 seasons:

Team, Total Merit Payments from 2011/12 to 2025/26*

Manchester City £556,883,928

Arsenal £504,227,718

Liverpool £498,914,155

Manchester United £452,834,498

Chelsea £441,290,008

Tottenham Hotspur £387,596,590

Newcastle United £298,468,260

Everton £273,342,800

Aston Villa £258,482,547

West Ham United £250,597,576

Crystal Palace £235,296,890

Brighton & Hove Albion £219,999,551

Bournemouth £200,662,371

Leicester City £189,269,953

Fulham £150,517,100

Wolverhampton Wanderers £146,977,452

Southampton £140,596,670

Brentford £140,531,664

Burnley £94,355,875

Nottingham Forest £83,900,000

Sunderland £83,492,320

Stoke City £75,408,522

Swansea City £72,554,716

West Bromwich Albion £68,518,083

Leeds United £60,252,732

Watford £57,457,648

Sheffield United £26,218,075

Norwich City £24,136,385

Hull City £15,739,936

Huddersfield Town £11,574,858

Luton Town £9,400,000

Cardiff City £6,991,637

Wigan Athletic £6,798,015

Ipswich Town £5,300,000

Queens Park Rangers £5,021,027

Middlesbrough £3,883,218

Bolton Wanderers £2,265,186

Reading £1,511,762

Blackburn Rovers £1,510,124

* Includes estimated 2025/26 figures (football365). The Premier League has not yet published its official 2025/26 payments.

The adjusted table, reflecting the differences in Merit Payments when Manchester City are excluded, is as follows: Team, Difference in Merit Payments 2011/12 – 2025/26*

Everton £28,944,186

Manchester United £28,118,305

West Ham United £28,089,124

Crystal Palace £27,333,243

Newcastle United £26,902,577

Chelsea £25,787,679

Tottenham Hotspur £25,540,172

Liverpool £24,423,357

Aston Villa £23,052,791

Brighton & Hove Albion £21,769,248

Bournemouth £21,415,229

Arsenal £21,290,352

Southampton £21,228,124

Wolverhampton Wanderers £20,492,042

Burnley £19,203,326

Fulham £19,024,448

Leicester City £17,994,755

Brentford £14,200,387

Nottingham Forest £12,611,429

Sunderland £10,935,938

West Bromwich Albion £10,854,801

Watford £10,492,758

Leeds United £10,297,033

Swansea City £9,107,386

Stoke City £9,107,206

Norwich City £7,448,389

Sheffield United £6,618,375

Hull City £4,422,590

Huddersfield Town £3,849,786

Cardiff City £3,154,601

Luton Town £3,100,000

Queens Park Rangers £2,755,841

Ipswich Town £2,651,429

Middlesbrough £1,941,609

Wigan Athletic £1,510,943

Reading £755,881

Blackburn Rovers £755,062

Bolton Wanderers £755,062

* Includes estimated 2025/26 figures (football365). The Premier League has not yet published its official 2025/26 payments.

This equals a total of £527,935,464 in Premier League prize money that clubs could be potentially owed now that City have been found guilty of breaching FFP.

Total Central Payments to Manchester City

The table below shows the total central payments received by Manchester City each season:

Season, Total Central Payment, League Position

2011/2012 £60,602,289 1

2012/2013 £58,143,890 2

2013/2014 £96,578,329 1

2014/2015 £98,501,832 2

2015/2016 £96,971,603 4

2016/2017 £146,927,965 3

2017/2018 £149,438,654 1

2018/2019 £150,986,355 1

2019/2020 £168,300,000 2

2020/2021 £152,553,233 1

2021/2022 £153,090,894 1

2022/2023 £176,177,193 1

2023/2024 £175,900,000 1

2024/2025 £165,500,000 3

2025/2026* £192,500,000 2

Total £2,042,172,237

*2025/26 figure is an estimate (Citi Newsroom). The Premier League has not yet published its official 2025/26 payments.

Conclusion

Given that Manchester City have been found guilty of breaching FFP regulations, the club may face substantial financial liabilities to their Premier League rivals.

This comprehensive analysis provides a clear picture of the potential compensation owed, highlighting the significant impact on the financial landscape of English football. However, as is predicted by commentary since City were judged to be guilty on 114 out of 115 charges, any such action taken by these parties could pale in comparison to the wave of other claims that could be made in terms of losses by other players and clubs.

This could include attempts to reclaim more than just merit payment differences and could cover defeats in the finals of other competitions, loss of access to the Champions League or other European competitions, sponsorship devaluation, win bonuses and more.

Sources

● Sporting Intelligence

● Planet Football

● The Athletic

● Metro

● Premier League

● 2022/23 and 2023/24 Manchester City totals: Premier League 2022/23, Premier League 2023/24

● 2024/25 figures: Premier League

● 2025/26 figures (estimates): football365 (£3.76m per league place), Citi Newsroom (Manchester City’s £192.5m), Premier League (final league table)

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